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All signs point to an uphill battle for Thom Tillis, one of Mitch McConnell’s most vulnerable senators, as Cal outraises Tillis 2:1 in the first quarter of the year, and leads in recent polling.
The Washington Post called the state “the swingiest of swing states,” citing Cal’s fundraising boom in the first three months of the year. Cal reported raising $4.4 million in the first quarter of the year, which was more than double Tillis’ haul. His grassroots support gained new momentum in 2020, picking up more than 9,500 new North Carolina donors in the first quarter of the year.
In the past week, Cal has led Tillis by as much as nine points in three separate polls, revealing massive dissatisfaction in Tillis, especially among independent voters, a group that he has struggled to gain trust from because he has “tottered between trying to establish an independent identity and lashing himself tightly to Trump.” And with the administration’s failure to properly prepare and respond to the coronavirus pandemic, the Washington Post warns that Thom Tillis’ full embrace of the president may backfire.
This week, Roll Call listed Tillis among the top four most vulnerable Senators, highlighting the Republican meddling in the Democratic primary as “a sign Republicans knew Tillis needed help.” And the spending certainly isn’t stopping there. Mitch McConnell’s Super PAC has already reserved a third of its total television advertisement bookings in North Carolina alone.
Less than six months until Election Day, Thom Tillis is falling further into “the danger zone” as Cal’s undeniable momentum continues to catapult his campaign as the key to taking the gavel out of Mitch McConnell’s hand.
Read more coverage on Cal’s momentum below.
Washington Post: Which Senate seats are most likely to flip in November?
Cook Political Report: Super Tuesday Senate Takeaways: North Carolina Moves to Toss Up